How To Build An MLS Franchise
After four years of being out of the playoffs, it's fair to say the D.C. United front office has struggled with fielding a team that can compete with the league's best. Last month, I posted a piece detailing the franchise's weak record with international signings during that four-year stretch of poor form, identifying that as a major factor in the team's rapid fall from the MLS heights. Right now, Untied seems to be watching from the sidelines as the top MLS teams are adding strong players from Europe and Latin America. Today, FC Dallas added one of the best strikers in CONCACAF, Blas Perez, along with a young, talented Colombian defender who has captained his country's U23 team. Dallas joins the LA Galaxy, Seattle Sounders, Portland Timbers and Philadelphia Union in adding what seem like good foreign players. Also, the New York Red Bulls added to their stable today, with an experienced Scandinavian defender. Even the San Jose Earthquakes seems to have beaten United to its first international target, Victor Bernardez, based on discovery claim priority because of the Earthquakes' weaker record last year.
Right now, I fear that D.C. is falling even farther behind the other teams in constructing a winning roster for 2012, If, as I believe, international roster slots reset for the new season, then United has six international roster slots to fill (or trade for domestic talent). The team's competitiveness this season will depend on how good a job the front office does with this task -- with the level of talent they bring into the team to fill those international slots.
Over the long run, though, there is another even more important mechanism which MLS teams will need to exploit if they want to stay at the top of the league competition -- and it is that piece of the puzzle that I want to write about now: the Academy system.
When I say the Academy system will be even more important than foreign recruitment, I am really just making a numbers argument. Under the new collective bargaining agreement which was put in place last season, rosters were dramatically increased to 28 and even up to 30 players. Unless and until MLS increases the number of international slots from the current level of eight, this means more than two thirds of a team's roster must be filled with domestic players. Of course, some foreign players will gain green cards if they stay long enough, but still the majority of players will be players who grew up here or came for college and stayed.
Of course, to date, most teams have relied primarily on the college draft -- now called the Superdraft -- to find the top American talent. Today, D.C. United posted a retrospective of the team's drafting history. One positive that stands out from this history is that the team is doing a better job in recent years in identifying top players. The best draft in team history must be the 2001 draft, which brought Santino Quaranta, Bryan Namoff and Ryan Nelsen, but that seems a fluke due mostly to having 4 of the top 15 selections. Most of the early drafts brought only one player who contributed to the team for any length of time. Some drafts were even less successful than that.
As dismal as the team's performance has been in foreign recruitment since 2007, the effort in the draft has been almost the exact opposite in the impressive results that have come from it. 2007 and 2008 were problematic in that three of D.C.'s picks ended up playing abroad, instead of signing with the team -- and Bryan Arguez left for Germany after only one year. Still, you have to give the team credit in identifying good players. 2009 was a brilliant draft, bringing in Chris Pontius, Rodney Wallace, Milos Kocic and Brandon Barklage, all of whom are still in the league. The team didn't have a draft pick in the first three rounds in 2010, due to United's willingness to trade its picks. Last year, though, the team did have four picks in the first four rounds and the team found four players who may be a part of the team for years with Perry Kitchen, Chris Korb, Joe Willis and Blake Brettschneider.
This year, the team has only one pick in the top 60, so we can't expect more than that one player contributing to the team. Given the team is picking at No. 7 and the apparent strength of the top 10 players available, the team should come away with a big piece of the team's future, but that won't fill all those empty roster slots. In fact, that's generally true of the Superdraft. Notwithstanding the team's excellent drafts in 2009 and 2011, it's probably not realistic to expect a team to find more than two MLS-level players in the draft each year. So, as an average, after five years, a team is doing extraordinarily well if it has 10 players that came from the draft.
If you add those ten players that came via the draft to the eight internationals on the team, you may be able to fill out the minimum 18 that go into the salary budget roster. However, that would still leave the team with 10-12 more slots to fill. Of course, a team may find a free agent or two, but then you're really just mining other teams' castoffs. Also, in that case, you're either giving up an international slot, or you're grabbing a domestic player who probably came to MLS through the draft. To fill those other slots, teams will have to start looking to their academies.
There's another reason why academies will gain in importance in coming years -- a lack of talent available in the draft. As other MLS teams start to bring many of the best young [layers into their academy system, they will make big use of the Homegrown system. Right now, D.C. United has the most homegrown players, with four: Bill Hamid, Andy Najar, Ethan White and Conor Shanosky. However impressive that seems, even United will have to do a better job in finding talent through their Academy.
As a lot of the best domestic players find their way into the Homegrown system, it will be even harder for each team to find two MLS-level players in the draft. Pickings will be slim for teams picking at the back end of the draft -- those teams that have had the best records on the pitch. The best players are also angling for moves to Europe, either before the draft, or even after a few years with their MLS side. So if a team could only expect to find eight drafted players on the roster at any one time, the teams may need to fill a dozen or more slots with Homegrown talent.
To reach that level, teams will have to add more than two Homegrown players each year -- and, if they risk losing a player like Najar to foreign teams, the pipeline from the Academy has to be pretty solid. It's not enough to find one or even two players there each year. While United has done really well in bringing in 2 players in each of the first two seasons of the Homegrown system, the team will have to match that every year and probably even up that number in coming years.To fill out 10-12 slots every five or six years means adding a minimum of two Academy alums each year.
The turnover due to injuries, unmet expectations and the loss of the best talent to Europe will necessitate even better results from the Academy -- probably an average of three playrs moving up to the big club each year, either directly from the Academy or after spending some time playing in high-level NCAA programs. I think Don Garber may have overstated the case about the draft being obsolete in the future. For the foreseeable future there will be enough players who come from areas or clubs outside the Academy system to warrant a draft. Still, he's correct in emphasizing the ever-increasing role the Academies must and will play in developing professional talent.
I applaud D.C. United's front office for being at the cutting edge in creating the team's Academy and making the greatest use of the Homegrown system. As well as they have done in the first two years, the team will have to keep getting better. Bringing in a coach like Soony Siloy is a sign of the team's understanding of this reality and its commitment to even better results in the future. It will, however, take more than just a good coach. It will take a much bigger investment of resources to create the bigger, stronger Academy that United will need.
A number of the best players in the region have developed outside D.C. United's system. Last year's MLS Rookie of the Year, CJ Sapong is a player that DCU might have had in their system if the Academy focus had been there earlier -- if the team had cast a wider net. Brian Ownby and Will Bates are top players coming out this year who might have been as well. One of the best underage players in the country is Junior Flores, who has played for the McLean club. Steve Goff has also written about an even younger player, Gedion Zelalem, who is likely to move to Europe to get into an Academy there. It's no shame to lose a player of that talent to one of the best clubs in Europe, but one has to wonder why foreign clubs are finding him before even United.
Last month, I discussed how the team's current dire circumstances have roots in the poor record in international scouting and recruitment. There's also the impact of the circus that has surrounded the comings and goings of Troy Perkins. In other forums, I've identified the departure of Perkins to Norway and the efforts of United to fill the hole this created as the moment when the franchise's fortunes really turned (though, one could say that the decision to give the job to Perkins over Nick Rimando actually started the chain of events). The team traded Bobby Boswell, brought in a lot of players trying to find replacements for Boswell, and then traded to get Perkins back and eventually to bring Fred back after dealing him to get Perkins' rights. It's been a swirl of chaos, and involved trading valuable draft picks and spending resources on foreign signings that could have filled other holes. To avoid the dramatic impact a departure like Perkins' can have, teams need to have talent in the Academy pipeline. It will be even more important in years to come.
As fans, we want to see United bring in big-name foreign talent. Unfortunately, that doesn't seem realistic right now, given the team's financial fortunes. We have to hope that this situation will be straightened out, with a new stadium in the city and new investors bringing in some spending capital.
When that new capital comes in, it will need to be distributed in a number of ways: Costly foreign signings, to be sure, and definitely better, more comprehensive international scouting. A good chunk, though, should be reserved for growing the D.C. United Academy. It needs to start younger, and it needs to have wider reach, to get kids whose parents don't want their kids in D.C. 2-3 times a week. Real Salt Lake and the Vancouver Whitecaps actually have residential academies (RSL's is in Arizona). I don't know if that's the ideal solution for D.C., but having some satellite operations in the outer suburbs is probably a good idea, even if it ruffles feathers in McLean, Bethesda and Baltimore County.
The last couple of years have shown that consistency in MLS depends on finding foreign talent that can lead a team. We've also seen that the colleges are producing better players and stars can be found in the draft, too. However, it's also clear that the increased roster size means that the spines of the team will be forged from homegrown talent. That's "Homegrown", with a capital "H".
15 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
On Perez and Bernardez
Since we both tend to get longwinded, I’m going to respond in pieces in an attempt to stay focused.
He’s a hugely individualistic player that demands the ball all the time. We already have a player like that in De Ro, so him going to Dallas only has an affect on us because Dallas is probably better for it (since Perez, alone up top in their 4141, will have no one else really demanding much of the ball or being in the space that he’ll want to occupy).
It’s not something we lost out on at all; it’s just that one other MLS team signed a player that fits the role their team needed. That’s going to happen every offseason; wishing for it to be otherwise is like wishing for every United shot to become a goal.
We’ve been over Bernardez before. I don’t think we were in pursuit anywhere near as much as you do. Even if your view on it is true, how was DC supposed to get ahead of San Jose given that the Quakes finished with a worse record than us? You can’t be upset at the team for being not good enough, but also be upset that we weren’t bad enough to get a player.
Writer on SBN's DC United blog Black and Red United | @ChestRockwell14 | KEEP UNITED IN DC
I'm not upset about either -- that's not the point
I’m not saying Perez would have fit in with DC, though I do think they could use someone with his touch and stature in front of goal. It’s not that Dallas got Perez, or that San Jose got Bernardez instead of DC that I’ve kvetched about.As you note, SJ was ahead of DC in the allocation and discovery order, so it’s not the FO’s fault. I don’t bemoan missing any particular player.
My point with respect to the international market is that DCU seems to be sitting it out, to the team’s detriment. The top teams keep announcing quality foreign acquisitions — that’s how they got to be the top teams, and they’re doing what it takes to stay on top. Meanwhile, DC brought in only Brasesco last year (and a handful of trialists that either didn’t sign or didn’t get offers), and nothing so far this season. They left international slots unfilled last year — and I’m fairly certain a decent amount of cap money unused.
It’s not that the has missed out on some potential signings, ti’s that the team is missing out on all of them. The team has six international slots to use, and two months have passed without doing anything about it. All of a sudden, they’re going to score big in the last 3 weeks of the international window? Doubtful. They might announce a signing or two before the camp starts — not at the level of players being signed by other teams, but hopefully not too embarrassing. Then, in February, the team will bring in some more, strictly minor-league trialists The only difference this year could be that a couple of these trialists might even make the team this year because of the team’s desperation to fill out a roster.
The pool just isn't that small
I’m going to turn this around for you and give you even more reason to excoriate DCU management. If all the team does is “announce a signing or two before the camp starts — not at the level of players being signed by other teams, but hopefully not too embarrassing”, then that’s an extra fail, because I’m sorry, the signings made by other MLS teams in no way limits the field of options for us. Worldwide, there are many players as good or better than the ones already brought to MLS who could be acquired. Either Kasper & Payne are negotiating with a few of them now and are merely moving on a slower timeline than you want, or they aren’t and have hamstrung our 2012 before it starts (for whatever reason, be it limited funds, bad scouting, bad negotiating skills, etc.).
I think the only real difference between your perspective and the one Chest and I are taking is that you count each day without a signing as contributing toward an eventual failing score, whereas I have no day-to-day count but will assign the same failing score at the end of the window if they can’t/won’t improve the team. You say “and two months have passed without doing anything about it…”; we just do not know that at all right now. Your narrative is plausible but hardly dispositive. We’ll have plenty of time to rip into Kasper and Payne and Olsen in March if they deserve it.
by Stunned Duck on Jan 5, 2012 10:57 AM EST up reply actions
Transfer Window
Remember that each league has it’s own transfer windows – a primary window during the off-season and start of the season, and a secondary one midway through. The fabled January Transfer Window is Europe’s secondary window, but even though it closes over there at the end of the month, I’m pretty sure that the transfer window stays open here until after the season is underway in March. What matters is the window of the team a player is coming to – even if Europe and South America’s windows are closed, players can still leave those places to come here.
All that said, there’s still just a couple weeks till camp starts, so signings need to pick up, notwithstanding the US transfer window.
Vamos United; Boiler Up
Support your local club.
Black & Red United
While that's true...
There are two reasons to take advantage of the this period. (1) To get players into camp; and (2) deals are much more likely to happen while that January window is open, for a lot of players, because that’s simply when these things happen. That would be especially true for Scandinavian players, since they’re on a break now. Yes, signings can take place up until the MLS window closes in April, but I would think you’re likely to get lesser talents at that point.
plz explain re: Bernardez
I thought deciding conflicting discovery claims was based on filing time, not record:
If multiple clubs claim the same player using a discovery, the club that filed the claim first will have first rights to the player.
http://www.mlssoccer.com/2011-mls-roster-rules
Win or lose, we'll always be there for you.
by johnjahafanclub on Jan 5, 2012 5:57 PM EST up reply actions
Y'know, I thought that WAS the rule....
When I read (mls-rumors) that SJ was challenging DC’s efforts to sign him, claiming it was their right — I thought that the FO had blown it again, being beaten to the punch with an earlier in time discovery claim…and I made some critical comments. Then, I read somewhere that the MLS discovery process tracked the allocation order, giving priority to the team with the worse record. Now, I’m not sure what the rule is.
More than 2 Homegrown players a year seems unrealistic
I do agree that MLS teams will have to do better and better at the academy level as time goes on, because those academies are going to grab up more and more talent that used to become high-end draft picks.
Where I disagree is shooting for 2+ academy signings per season. I suppose you can go around signing your 2 or 3 best academy players every year regardless of their quality, but that seems like inviting bad players into the league.
The fact is that MLS has, to this point, produced 6 academy players who are actually useful in the league at the moment. They are:
Juan Agudelo
Andy Najar
Bill Hamid
Ashtone Morgan
Ethan White
Matt Stinson
That means homegrown signings are short-term successes at a rate of about 1 in 6. We’ll see how they turn out in the long term (lots of factors there…how long do clubs tend to wait before giving up?, etc), but if teams are reduced to using the academy just to meet the roster numbers, there are going to be a lot of situations like Dallas, who have 6 homegrown players but only one (Ruben Luna) that is even under consideration for a gameday squad barring a slew of injuries.
I think you’re downplaying the number of free agents teams will be able to sign. I also think MLS teams that want to carry a full 28-30 players will start to pick guys up from the NASL/USL ranks. We saw it start last year as both Portland and Vancouver carried guys up in their “promotions” and several MLS teams cannibalized the Carolina Railhawks during the existential uncertainty they had in the 2010 offseason.
We’ll also see teams follow the Philly model and simply not carry more than 23 or 24 guys. The roster regulations don’t require teams to carry any more than 18 players (not filling the 19th and 20th on-budget spots comes with some mystery “minimum salary budget charge”, or essentially the opposite of a luxury tax). The Union spent all of last season with the league’s smallest roster, but they also weren’t carrying much of any dead weight. Houston also kept their roster on the lean side.
My overarching point is that there is more than one way to do this, and I don’t think MLS teams are wealthy and focused enough to churn out 2-4 academy products per season that are actually worth signing. I do very much like that United is as good as anyone in MLS on the academy side, but we can’t assume (at least over the next 5-7 years) that we’ll be able to produce a White-or-better quality player every season, much less 2-4 of them.
Writer on SBN's DC United blog Black and Red United | @ChestRockwell14 | KEEP UNITED IN DC
I think you underrate Academy players
There are two young players — Zach Pfeffer and Diego Fagundez who may be as good as any American in the league by the time they’re 22.Also, Tristan Bowen and Nizar Khalfan belong on your list, even though they’ve been moved to new teams. There are other big talents in the pipeline — Dallas has two goalies who I expect to have huge trajectories in Sanchez and Pina, and there backup goalies, Deric, Sylvestre and Kempin, who are getting good notices. Pineda, Kassel, Hot, Leyva, Toia, Navas Cobo, Tiebert, Villareal and McBean seem good bets to make it in MLS.
Considering the Homegrown system is new, and most of those signing are teenagers skipping college, it would be unreasonable to expect these players to have big impact yet. You don’t see many players that age having impact professionally, even when they’ve come through the most prestigious Euro academies.
I’m not saying you should expect MLS teams to pluck two high-school age players from their Academies an put them into the starting lineup, every year. I am saying, though, that they should find two or more players who could be useful contributors after a year or two of seasoning with the reserves. I’m saying that down the road, to fill out the roster — and teams will need to carry the 28 because of the demands of a longer MLS schedule, USOC, reserve league and maybe CCL games — teams will have to step up the pace.
2 per year
I’ve always had the number 1 in my head. 1 homegrown signing per year sounds like it should be sufficient. Your numbers certainly seem to contradict that, but 2 per year might not quite be realistic yet. Hopefully down the road.
You noted that United leads the way by having four homegrown players on the roster currently, and more importantly three who are regular contributors. Since we no longer have an advantage over our competition in terms of international scouting (we’re at a disadvantage more likely), homegrown signings/Academy development is one area where we can maintain an advantage. Its one area where we MUST maintain an advantage if we want to compete for championships.
Managing Editor for BlackAndRedUnited.com. Weekly Columnist for SB Nation D.C..
by Martin Shatzer on Jan 6, 2012 11:09 AM EST up reply actions
United has definitely received the best production from academy products
But I think FC Dallas actually leads the way in signings with something around 6 homegrown players on the roster.
Vamos United; Boiler Up
Support your local club.
Black & Red United
But they don't get on the game day roster
Still, Dallas has a wicked good farm system. They have the 2 best youth goalies around and some fine field players too. They will pass DC soon enough in terms of contributions from the Academy.
Comments without data
Two thoughts:
1) As DC fans, we can probably name every foreign signing that panned out for at least the past 5 years. In fact, I think you already did. I cannot, however, do the same thing for, say, the Revs. I think this creates a perception bias; other teams probably have a similar list that we are unaware of. DC certainly isn’t among the premier recruiting clubs right now and I am a tool who expects DC to win every game, fleece every trade, and acquire the best foreign players and until they do so, I think there is room for improvement. But I also think the case may be overstated given the context.
2) Do you have any idea what it costs to bring a young player through the academy system? That’s not rhetorical, I really don’t know. Considering that DC generally doesn’t sign multimillion dollar players… I was thinking about using hypothetical numbers, but that’s a waste of time. Basically, I wonder how the loss of a single year’s wages for a mid-range foreign signing + loss of revenue (if that signing sucks) compares to the cost of training a homegrown player for years + the cost of all the other kids who can’t hack it (which will go up if the DC academies widen their net). I’m not opposed to the academies and I’m proud that DC appears to be setting the bar right now; I’m not convinced that relying upon the academies and subsequently pouring money into them is the right investment for a team with an inconsistent, if not negative, cash flow.
I don't know what it costs
As for cash flow, everyone from Garber on down has proclaimed this can’t go on for long. I’m prepared to take them at their word. Ultimately, I think academy players are cheaper, but of course that’s not averaging out the costs of all those Academy kids that don’t make it. I doubt that it’s fabulously expensive — but the teams do travel, so it’s not without cost. I think one day, the hope is, that the Academy games would be a draw, to defray some expenses.

by 













