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CONCACAF Champions League Quarterfinals Preview

RSL head coach Jason Kreis has a great opportunity to lead his team to the CONCACAF Champions League final.

After a long break, everyone's somebody's favorite tournament is back. The CONCACAF Champions League quarterfinals start off tonight, and MLS fans in general should be pumped. This is the first time in the current format that two MLS clubs have gotten this far, and a very kind draw means that neither Real Salt Lake or the Columbus Crew will have to face a Mexican opponent until the final.

SB Nation's Soccer section has comprehensive coverage of the tournament , including a preview of CD Olimpia vs. Deportivo Saprissa by yours truly. Denz from RSL Soapbox has a very detailed preview up as well.

Complete TV listings can be found via CONCACAF (pdf)

Read on for my predictions and a little bit on each match up:

 

 

Star-divide

Real Salt Lake vs. Columbus Crew

At full strength and top form last season, RSL would have been solid favorites here. Since last season, they've added Arturo Alvarez (as depth !) and only lost Robbie Findley, who has been effectively replaced by pint-sized Brazilian Paulo Jr. The Crew, meanwhile, have had massive amounts of turnover in just about every part of the field. The replacements are, by and large, not as impressive as the players that were there in 2010. More important, however, is the Crew injury list. They'll be missing three starters, plus the back up for two of those players, plus some other guys. They've signed one-time DCU trialist Ray Burse Jr. to a short-term contract just so they can have someone in goal for this one; it's closer to something you see in your local indoor league than in the very best of regional soccer.

I'm not saying Columbus has no chance...but I kind of want to.

1st leg: Columbus 1:2 RSL
2nd leg: RSL 3:0 Columbus

Santos Laguna vs. Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul is scoring goals for fun, even by the "winning 4-3 is better than 1-0" standards of the Mexican league. They've got 15 goals in just 7 matches, with Tito Villa leading the charge with 4 goals. Santos, meanwhile, is looking somewhat less impressive. Despite being just 3 points behind Cruz Azul in the standings, they've got a -3 goal differential and sit 12th overall. Former head coach Ruben Omar Romano, often noted for leaving half or more of his shirt buttons undone on the sideline, was fired this weekend for flipping off angry fans after Los Guerreros had lost 2-0 to struggling Queretaro FC.

So, despite having both utter disdain for Cruz Azul and a strong interest in watching Darwin Quintero as often as possible, I'm going to have to go with my head here.

1st leg: Santos 2:2 Cruz Azul
2nd leg: Cruz Azul 4:2 Santos

CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca

Monterrey, despite being the defending champs in Mexico, have started off the season in indifferent form (they're only ahead of Santos on goal differential). Meanwhile, Toluca have only lost once in their 7 games, and have only given up 4 goals in that time (along wit Tigres UANL, the best defensive record in the league). In addition to form, Toluca also has the undeniable advantage of playing at an elevation of over 1.5 miles above sea level.

That said, I'm going with Monterrey. They're the better team on paper, they have more continuity throughout their team, and Humberto Suazo is the best forward (arguably the best player, full stop) on any CONCACAF club.

1st leg: Toluca 2:1 Monterrey
2nd leg: Monterrey 2:0 Toluca

CD Olimpia vs. Deportivo Saprissa

I wrote about this extensively in the earlier link (seriously, I may now be the #1 source of information on Olimpia and Saprissa in the English language). The one thing I'll add here is that I think this series will be the most stereotypically "CCL" of the four ties. By that, I mean look for bad calls, angry players, great goals, and bizarre incidents. If nothing else, it should be good theater.

1st leg: Saprissa 2:2 Olimpia
2nd leg: Olimpia 2:1 Saprissa

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Forgot to mention in the article

Feel free to use this as your B&RU in-game chat. I’ll try to jump on at halftime and after (I have a desktop computer, and my TV is in another room; no, I am not a caveman).

by ChestRockwell on Feb 22, 2011 9:27 AM EST reply actions  

Who is everyone rooting for?

As much as I dislike their general arrogance, I think we’ve got to root for RSL, being the MLS team most likely to have what it takes to represent CONCACAF at the Club World Cup. Even if they manage to get through this series, Columbus wouldn’t have a chance against Cruz Azul or any of the other powerhouses of the region.

Side note: they’ve really got to quit scheduling these games for when I’m in class Tuesday nights.

Managing Editor for BlackAndRedUnited.com. Weekend Writer for SBNation DC.

by Martin Shatzer on Feb 22, 2011 11:47 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

RSL

Gotta go for RSL. They’re our best chance at taking the CCL trophy. I can deal with their general arrogance. I think they have a club good enough to warrant such bravdo, and at least they have won an MLS Cup. Plus it’s hard for me to root too hard for another eastern team. Just makes me feel dirty.

by madavis on Feb 22, 2011 12:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Santos Laguna

-RSL is too cocky (in my opinion) cocky right now
-I don’t want Crew to pick up momentum before the DCU opener
-It would be cool for United fans to be able to brag about beating the CONCACAF champions at their field.

by Zach J on Feb 22, 2011 5:22 PM EST up reply actions  

ignore 2nd “cocky” typo

by Zach J on Feb 22, 2011 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Why cocky?

I seem to get the general vibe from people, (not just Zach J) that RSL is sort of cocky. Where are you getting this from? What has RSL done that has been cocky?

P.S. Chest, Glad to hear your not a caveman! lol.

by redskinsux on Feb 22, 2011 5:33 PM EST reply actions  

It has been mentioned that we are in the “RSL Dynasty”. Theres few, if any, disputes about DCU’s dynasty back in the Etcheverry Era, but RSL fans argue that its their time now. Bloggers have then started debated on what defines a dynasty. (Sounder at heart did a lengthy piece on it.)

Also there’s “#TheQuad” http://www.rslsoapbox.com/2011/2/8/1982454/for-real-salt-lake-could-2011-see-them-win-thequad

PS: I like RSL. Very respectable club. But let’s get serious.

by Zach J on Feb 22, 2011 5:46 PM EST up reply actions  

MLS Dynasties

We did a lengthier piece on it. Or at least we will 15 minutes from now. :)

Managing Editor for BlackAndRedUnited.com. Weekend Writer for SBNation DC.

by Martin Shatzer on Feb 23, 2011 8:44 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

RSL arrogance

Maybe I’m not being fair to the RSL organization because the team itself isn’t necessarily arrogant or cocky, so maybe that’s not the right word. What frustrates me is the quantity of soccer bloggers who seem willing to add RSL’s current squad to the list of the greatest teams in MLS history. Zach brings up RSL Soapbox’s story of #TheQuad but its not just that, there are other national writers who feel the same way – that RSL is great. One trophy in the team’s entire history says otherwise. People confuse their entertaining style of play with winning.

Managing Editor for BlackAndRedUnited.com. Weekend Writer for SBNation DC.

by Martin Shatzer on Feb 23, 2011 8:51 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Lineups

Right to left

Columbus (442): Burse; Miranda, Balchan, Iro, Gardner; Gaven, Grossman, Ekpo, Rogers; Mendoza, Renteria

That facial injury that knocked Marshall out of practice yesterday must have been more serious than the Crew let on, because he’s not even on the bench. Huge blow for a team that couldn’t sustain any more losses.

RSL (4312): Rimando; Beltran, Olave, Borchers, Wingert; Grabavoy, Beckerman, Johnson; Morales; Espindola, Saborio

Beltran over Russell is a minor surprise, but it’s not that big of a deal.

by ChestRockwell on Feb 22, 2011 7:43 PM EST reply actions  

Jair Marufo strikes again

75 minutes in, and 3 players sent off so far. 10-man Crew v. 9-man RSL.

Vamos United; Boiler Up
Black & Red United

by The AMT on Feb 22, 2011 9:42 PM EST reply actions  

Red cards

Beltran’s was harsh, but Sullivan’s analysis was right on. When you’re in MLS, and you have Marrufo reffing your game, you know he loves to throw cards around for no damn reason, and as such you can’t make tackles that are even remotely questionable.

The Borchers/Renteria incident wasn’t shown very well by whoever was in charge of the cameras at Crew Stadium. However, if they threw elbows at each other above the shoulder, there’s not much Marrufo could do other than send them off. Borchers should have known better than to get mixed up in that.

by ChestRockwell on Feb 23, 2011 11:38 AM EST up reply actions  

Scattered thoughts on Crew-RSL

- RSL struggled with its passing. I don’t think it was down to the ball or field conditions; they just looked like a possession team that hasn’t had enough time to re-establish their rhythm.

- Columbus looked better than just about everyone expected. However, just avoiding a heavy loss would have accomplished that. There is precious little craft or skill on the Columbus roster, and none of those players were out missing. They’re going to really struggle to score against any team that can defend half-decently. However, your more error-prone defenses will probably get blown out by Columbus because they play so direct and they go straight to goal so often.

- Rogers and Gaven are complimentary players; they can’t carry an offense themselves. With Schelotto, they were dangerous because he knew what to do with them. Having to make their own decisions is going to reveal them to be guys that need someone else to be the inspiration. Rogers, in particular, did almost nothing going forward, and he’s supposed to be their real threat on the dribble.

- For Columbus, the most impressive rookie was Grossman. He went about his job quietly, but clogged up a ton of passing lanes, funneled play effectively, and even got forward on occasion in a useful way. He’s not flashy, but he’s not your typical 2nd round player that’s more of a project.

- Iro also impressed me. Normally, when Marshall is in, you get the sense that Iro leaves the organizing and cerebral stuff to him and just uses his speed and size to complete the instructions handed out. Last night, he had to be the brains, and he looked strong in that role. I don’t think Columbus is going to have a good season, but if Iro and Marshall stay healthy, they’ll at least stay close in a lot of games because they won’t bleed goals.

by ChestRockwell on Feb 23, 2011 11:50 AM EST reply actions  

Going on the Break

Columbus looked like the more dangerous team, but only on the break. Credit the Crew for having a game plan and sticking to it – force turnovers and hit RSL on the counter. It also helped that RSL is a possession team in preseason form, as you pointed out. Home field and another week to get on the same page should help RSL take the return leg pretty convincingly, I have to think.

Vamos United; Boiler Up
Black & Red United

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